Unauthorized Immigrants Prolong the Life of Medicare’s Trust Fund

Leah Zallman, Fernando Wilson, James P. Stimpson, Adriana Bearse, Lisa Arsenault, Blessing Dube, David Himmelstein, Steffie Woolhandler

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

14 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background and Objective: Unauthorized immigrants seldom have access to public health insurance programs such as Medicare Part A, which pays hospitals and other health facilities and is funded through the Medicare Trust Fund. Design and Main Measures: We tabulated annual and total Trust Fund contributions and withdrawals by unauthorized immigrants (i.e., outlays on their behalf) from 2000 to 2011 using the Current Population Survey and Medical Expenditure Panel Surveys. We estimated when the Trust Fund would be depleted if unauthorized immigrants had neither contributed to it nor withdrawn from it. We estimated Trust Fund surpluses by unauthorized immigrants if 10 % were to become authorized annually over the subsequent 7 years. Key Results: From 2000 to 2011, unauthorized immigrants contributed $2.2 to $3.8 billion more than they withdrew annually (a total surplus of $35.1 billion). Had unauthorized immigrants neither contributed to nor withdrawn from the Trust Fund during those 11 years, it would become insolvent in 2029—1 year earlier than currently predicted. If 10 % of unauthorized immigrants became authorized annually for the subsequent 7 years, Trust Fund surpluses contributed by unauthorized immigrants would total $45.7 billion. Conclusions: Unauthorized immigrants have prolonged the life of the Medicare Trust Fund. Policies that curtail the influx of unauthorized immigrants may accelerate the Trust Fund’s depletion.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)122-127
Number of pages6
JournalJournal of general internal medicine
Volume31
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2016

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Medicare
Medicare Part A
Undocumented Immigrants
Health Facilities
Financial Management
Health Insurance
Health Expenditures
Public Health

Keywords

  • health care financing
  • immigrants
  • medicare

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Internal Medicine

Cite this

Zallman, L., Wilson, F., Stimpson, J. P., Bearse, A., Arsenault, L., Dube, B., ... Woolhandler, S. (2016). Unauthorized Immigrants Prolong the Life of Medicare’s Trust Fund. Journal of general internal medicine, 31(1), 122-127. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-015-3418-z

Unauthorized Immigrants Prolong the Life of Medicare’s Trust Fund. / Zallman, Leah; Wilson, Fernando; Stimpson, James P.; Bearse, Adriana; Arsenault, Lisa; Dube, Blessing; Himmelstein, David; Woolhandler, Steffie.

In: Journal of general internal medicine, Vol. 31, No. 1, 01.01.2016, p. 122-127.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Zallman, L, Wilson, F, Stimpson, JP, Bearse, A, Arsenault, L, Dube, B, Himmelstein, D & Woolhandler, S 2016, 'Unauthorized Immigrants Prolong the Life of Medicare’s Trust Fund', Journal of general internal medicine, vol. 31, no. 1, pp. 122-127. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-015-3418-z
Zallman, Leah ; Wilson, Fernando ; Stimpson, James P. ; Bearse, Adriana ; Arsenault, Lisa ; Dube, Blessing ; Himmelstein, David ; Woolhandler, Steffie. / Unauthorized Immigrants Prolong the Life of Medicare’s Trust Fund. In: Journal of general internal medicine. 2016 ; Vol. 31, No. 1. pp. 122-127.
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